The forecast we talked about in our previous post on Thursday has changed very little. There is a high risk of a major tornado outbreak on Saturday in Southern Kansas and South thru Oklahoma to very near the Red River. This does NOT include North Texas.
It's a pretty classic Spring storm system taking shape.A strong Low Pressure system with abundant moisture and instability ahead of it will combine with a Cold Front to produce the strong to severe storms on Saturday. This is a dangerous situation and residents in the aforementioned areas need to be alert and watch for rapidly developing storms on Saturday. Be cautions and check preparedness plans.
For North Texas, we won't escape this system either. By late Saturday night we should see rain and thunderstorms break out as the atmosphere will be "un-capped" and there will be plenty of moisture and lift for strong to Severe storms. However, at this time it appears that the main low will track to the north of us and that should mean we won't have the energy and lift for a widespread severe outbreak. That is NOT to say we won't have heavy thunderstorms, especially during the day on Sunday and the chance of tornadoes cannot be completey ruled out but will not be nearly as high as in the High Risk area.
We will keep an eye on things and issue updates as needed.

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